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AI predicts win for Germany in Euro 2024 opener, while it’s bad news for England

euro 2024 The football tournament begins today (June 14), with Germany taking on Scotland in the first match. artificial intelligence It predicts a 2-0 win for host nation Germany, with a probability of 76 per cent.

Luzmo’s Octopus AINamed after the famous Paul the Octopus who predicted results during Euro 2008 and the 2010 World Cup, it calculates challenging odds for England.

The AI ​​also suggests that Germany have a 40 percent chance of winning the tournament, while bookmakers’ favourites England have 34 percent. Despite these odds, the digital cephalopod predicts that if the two nations clash, “the most likely individual score is 2 – 2. It should prove to be an interesting match.” As for tonight’s match, the Octopus AI says that Scotland’s “spirited attack” is no match for the Germans.

This image features a stylized graphic depicting a football match between England and Germany, with the national flags of each country displayed in circular icons. Below the flags, there is a fictional character named "AI Octopus," Which is depicted as a cheerful purple octopus adorned with stars. The AI ​​octopus predicts the match, stating that England has a 34% chance of winning and Germany has a 40% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw is 26%. It also predicts that the most likely score will be 2-2, which suggests that this will be an interesting match.
Octopus AI doesn’t have high hopes for England

When and where will Euro 2024 take place?

Germany is the host of Euro 2024, hosting the UEFA European Championship as a unified nation for the first time since the tournament in West Germany in 1988 and the 2006 FIFA World Cup. The championship, which will run from June 14 to July 14, 2024, includes a group stage that ends on June 26, followed by a knockout stage starting on June 29.

The UEFA European Championship, second only to the FIFA World Cup in terms of viewership, sees the senior men’s national teams of UEFA members compete for the continental title. Germany and Spain each have three titles, while Italy and France have won the title twice. Other past winners include the Soviet Union, Czechoslovakia, the Netherlands, Denmark, Greece and Portugal, with Spain being the only country to win consecutive titles in 2008 and 2012. The last Euro in 2021 was won by Italy who beat England in the final.

Who could win Euro 2024 based on Octopus AI?

Luzmo CTO Haroen Vermeulen explained that the company’s AI model used a method similar to Monte Carlo simulation to predict the tournament’s outcome. According to this model, France had the best record in championship simulations, winning 22 out of 100. While Luzmo’s home country Belgium had a 3.4 percent chance of winning, England showed a 3.2 percent chance, although it was more likely to reach the semi-finals.

Vermeulen described this model as register “As a match simulator that does a play-by-play simulation of a game based on things like the offensive rating, defensive rating of a team… to essentially create a probability distribution of how many potential goals and expected goals a certain team will be able to score versus another team.”

Featured Image: Canva / Luzmo


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